Nearly one-third of Gov. Dannel P. Malloy's solution to state government's budget crisis hinges on a labor savings target more than five times the employee wage and health benefits concessions secured just two years ago.
The $1 billion savings target Malloy proposed to help close a projected $3.2 billion deficit for the coming fiscal year isn't the only component in his new budget plan, but could prove more difficult to achieve than either the $1.5 billion in new taxes, $750 million in additional cuts or $162 million in new Medicaid funds to be secured from Washington.
And while the governor didn't identify how all of the labor savings might be achieved next year -- or where a matching $1 billion he wants in 2012-13 would come from -- he did outline a variety of wage- and benefit-giveback options that could cover about 40 percent of his target.
Those are the central components of the $39.94 billion biennial budget Malloy delivered Wednesday to the General Assembly, including a $19.74 billion spending plan for the fiscal year that begins July 1 and $20.21 billion in 2012-13.
The plan, which boosts spending 2.4 percent each year, also includes a promised consolidation plan that would reduce 81 state agencies down to 57, but only reduces an overall workforce of 46,585 by 159 -- or less than one-half of 1 percent, next fiscal year.
After pledging to cut nearly $2 billion off the projected cost of maintaining current services next year, the new governor offered $750 million in specific reductions, focusing primarily on social service and Medicaid programs, a higher education consolidation plan and by waiving the same statutory-mandated increases in certain municipal aid programs that the legislature has disregarded for the past two years or more.
The biggest cut in the Malloy budget technically involves a "lapse" or relatively undefined savings still to be achieved. The governor announced this week that it would come from state employee wage and benefit concessions as well as other savings tied to rank-and-file labor and management.
But is it achievable?
"I know they (employees) have made them in the past, and I appreciate those sacrifices," Malloy said in his budget address to lawmakers. "I appreciate the good and hard work they do every day, and I hope you do as well. But I need to ask them to do what I'm asking everyone else across the state to do: more, because their current wage, health care, and pension benefit levels are simply not sustainable."
The governor outlined several potential concessions and the projected total savings over two fiscal years, including:
Besides those potential concessions, which total about $780 million in projected savings over two years, the governor also suggested freezing longevity payments, increasing medical co-payments to save "millions more."
"These are only some of the ways we can get to that $2 billion dollar figure," Malloy added. "There are many others. But let me be clear: we have to get to that number."
The administration wrote in its budget summary that "the alternate route to a balanced budget--deeper spending cuts--will leave the (social service) safety net in tatters and core services decimated."
Yet if recent history is any guide, Malloy could have great difficulty hitting his target despite the administration's strong words.
State employees rejected the call for concessions last spring from then-Gov. M. Jodi Rell.
The two sides did strike a deal in May 2009 that technically saved the state budget $902 million across the 2008-09, 2009-10 and current fiscal years.
But $537 million of the total involved temporary savings from a retirement incentive program and from deferred pension contributions -- two gimmicks that Malloy has decried and have helped leave the state employees pension program in its worst fiscal shape since its creation in the mid-1980s.
Rell did get most workers to accept a one-year pay freeze in 2009-10, seven furlough days to be taken over two years, modest increases in health insurance premiums and prescription co-payments and a requirement -- only for workers with less than five years of experience -- that they contribute 3 percent of their annual pay for retirement health care.
The concessions that came out of workers' pockets totaled $153.3 million last fiscal year and $209.8 million this year, or an annual average of $181.6 million, according to nonpartisan legislative analysts.
During the prior recession, in December 2002, then-Gov. John G. Rowland ordered 2,500 layoffs after failing to strike a concession deal with workers.
Most of those layoffs later were rescinded as Rowland and the legislature replaced it with another early retirement incentive program.
As a Democrat who enjoyed strong labor support that was crucial to his win on Election Day, Malloy already holds one advantage over his two Republican predecessors.
Malloy insisted throughout last fall's campaign that he wouldn't press unions for wage or benefit givebacks without first hearing their ideas to improve efficiency without concessions.
The governor noted publicly on Feb. 2, though, that while he remains open to hearing those ideas, he needs proposals that would provide immediate and significant savings.
But most of the unions' suggestions require an initial investment or are geared to produce savings over the long term.
"They're not nearly enough" to help in the coming fiscal year, Malloy said Wednesday.
The State Employees Bargaining Agent Coalition, which negotiates benefits for all state employee unions, offered a cautious response to Malloy's address.
"The governor obviously laid out a challenging agenda," SEBAC spokesman Larry Dorman said. "But we've said before, Connecticut has a revenue problem, not a spending problem. ... But we intend and vow to remain a constructive force working with the administration."
Neither the governor, his staff, nor his budget have referred to layoffs as a possibility, but neither have they ruled them out.
But even were Malloy to order layoffs, several factors typically cut the first-year savings in half, according to an Office of Legislative Research report.
The Rell administration calculated last November that had the administration laid off 5,000 workers--roughly 1/10th of the work force--to cut costs in 2009, the savings in 2009-10 would have been just under $300 million.
Further complicating matters, other aspects of Malloy's budget plan could work against a deal with state unions.
Most unions are represented on a coalition that recently proposed a series of income tax hikes aimed exclusively at households earning more than $150,000 -- and top rates on millionaires that would surpass those levied in New York . But Malloy focused much of his plan to raise an extra $878 million income taxes on households earning less than $200,000 and has insisted that Connecticut's rates on top earners remain substantially below those of neighboring states.
I'll personally fund multiple hot tubs for him if Gov. Rowland can be back in office. I thought finding a worse Governor than Weicker would be hard...and here comes Malloy, worst Governor ever in only 2 months of being in office.
Keith,
"Pension fund contributions, which average 39 percent of workers' salaries according to the Office of Fiscal Analysis..."
This is a huge percentage, it that correct? I have heard civil servants brag that they pay their own pensions (i.e. 4 or 6%), so how could the taxpayer have a cost 6 to 9 times greater than the employee contribution?
Wow! I so disagree...Gov Rowland was perhaps even worse than Gov Weicker--there are so many reasons...no GAAP, no sustainable budget, not buying the needed trains, taking money for highways out of gas taxes...The only thing he did was postpone the pain. OMG he even set up a balloon payment on pensions & set up 20 year benefit plan on state employees!
Gov Malloy has a lot of guts---he is doing the right thing, even tho it is unpopular. He is faced with the largest budget deficit in the nation (on a per person basis) and is
Read MoreGo to ctsunlight.org to look at pensions. I have a neighbor who is no more than 55 who retired from DEP as a ranger with a pension of 60K a year- that is a million dollar annuity if he lives to 85 and he would have had to save 30% of his pre-tax pay to put that away. If he contribute 5% then there is the additional 25% we are on the hook for. Look at school systems- in Bridgeport there are dozen of teachers making 90K and up- that will give them a 60K
Read MoreGood question Jim,
But the State Employee Fringe Benefit rate stood at 39.8 percent last fiscal year, and that was before we deferred another $100 million owed to the pension fund. It is the huge, 56 percent unfunded liability, and the more than $1 billion in contributions to the SERS state government must make in 2011-12 that keeps the percentage so high in relation to the private sector.
Keith Phaneuf
OK Keith, since you are taking questions,: Where would that billion dollars a year in empployee concessions come from? Isn't it true that contracts and concessions for most unions are in place through the end of the NEXT fiscal year?
JulieRealist, Actually with respect to urban public education it IS like we are throwing money out the window.
Until we implement meaningful accountability measures for districts, administrators, principals, and teachers, we will be tossing our money right out the window.
Examples of anti-education policies?
Last-in-First-out is anti-education;
The archaic teacher tenure system is anti-education;
The state's teacher certfication rules are anti-education;
Collective bargaining and binding arbitration are not only ANTI-education but guaranteed to create over-spending.
Connecticut has been last in job creation over the last decade. We also have the largest achievement gap in the
Read MoreShared pain? WHAT?
I am confused. All residents of the State of CT will contribute to the $1.5 billion in tax increases...I get that part and it seems balanced and fair. But, the remaining $2 billion will be absorbed by a mere 50,000 State employees??? Has sharing changed that much since I was a kid? It used to mean an even distribution or your mother took the whole bag of chips and you got nothing for being greedy. How is it that the bulk of the burden
Read MoreJeff, thanks for addressing my comments. I should start off by saying that I am not a K-12 teacher, nor have I ever been. However, I have a wide range of friends, some of whom are teachers.
Recently I heard a finance board member say,(when talking about cuts he would like to make) "we can't get rid of the most expensive teachers because of tenure." Many, many people think teachers are interchangeable. One math teacher is equal to another - so get rid of the one that is most expensive and hire a new one for less money -
Read MoreThis state understands how bad Teacher are wasting taxpayer money, maybe we should be calling out all the Bad over paid DCF worker. We as a state have more than a 1000 children in state custody, which never should have been remove from their families but we still gave a kidnapped child back to her kidnapper. We waste million of tax payer money because our DCF is to Narcissist to change and understand that 20 year of federal mandate is a waste of our money
Get rid of the bureaucrats! Start with the towns and work your way up. Why are we spending billions of dollars across Connecticut paying for school superintendents to cover one small town? They have school principals, assistant principals, etc., running their respective schools. We only need one superintendent covering the Eastern region of Connecticut. Give the principals the authority to run their schools and report to ONE superintendent. CEOs manage global companies yet Bethel, Danbury, Ridgefield, etc., each have multiple bureaucrats. I have lived in three countries now and this is the only one that allows a Chief of Police,
Read MoreWe are so broken!
I have been a state manager for a number of years after a long career in the private sector. My decision to change to public sector employment was driven by the desire to end my professional life on a positive note by working to help serve my fellow citizens. Being a public servant is a honorable thing and I enjoy encounters every day with like-minded employees, both management and the rank-and-file. My decision to move to the state required a "shared sacrifice" within my family because the salary cut was dramatic. Yes,
Read MoreWow I can't believe given the proven history of the things Weicker did there are stilll people who think raising taxes out of sight is 'couragous' You just don't raise taxes in a recession. It's always a mistake, how many times can we make the same mistakes and not learn from them. I know what Einstien would call us....
Hmmm...I studied economics in school, and never heard that "you just don't raise taxes in a recession". It sounds reasonable, but sadly it just isn't true. You need to look at the situation and the choices that the economy has.
Right now the state has a huge problem with 1/5 of its budget being a deficit. So, the choices are to cut spending, raise taxes, or a combination. Gov Malloy choose combination. with 1/2 being spending cuts and 1/2 being taxes. Let's think about what cutting spending only (and not raising taxes) would mean. We would have massive lay
Read MoreWith all due respect to everyone's opinion, I would like to add a few comments, despite the fact that I would much rather offer solution to this mega budget deficit. But, the Governor and his competent staff has already done an outstanding job trying to close the budget deficit. Understandably, in a fiscal environment such as this one people are upset, overwhelmed, and anxious. Nevertheless, whether one is a state employee or works for the private sectors, we share more similarities than dissimilarities. For example, we all pay taxes. So the Governor proposes to increase our taxes as part
Read More